MA’AT.
Maximising wellbeing with AI under deep climate turmoil
MA’AT helps communities stay resilient to climate change by aiding climate adaptation planning to protect our wellbeing. Through simulations and “what if” scenarios, it highlights the choices that keep people connected to what matters most, even when climate-related disruptions occur.
MA’AT in short
As climate change alters the physical, built, and social environment that humans depend on for resources, tools to aid climate change adaptation planning are increasingly urgent. MA’AT proposes to combine machine learning with health and environmental modelling to develop a fully functional prototype for a multi-modular AI framework to aid climate change adaptation planning under deep climate uncertainty.
Focusing on climate adaptation policies for rain and pluvial flooding (ranging from nuisance flooding to extreme flooding) events within the Copenhagen capital region as a case study, the MA’AT Proof-of-Concept will seek to learn an optimal policy portfolio that maximises delayed rewards in the form of societal wellbeing, within an agent-based modelling (ABM) environment.
Using the shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) as the basis for probabilistic priors for projecting different exogenous variables over time, this 2-year project will demonstrate a fully integrated probabilistic modelling framework that captures the dynamic interactions between climate change-induced flooding and other stressors due to heavy rain, future adaptation plans, and human wellbeing.

What’s the problem?
Climate-induced wellbeing loss can occur in the immediate aftermath of a flood as individuals exposed to the event reckon with the damage and trauma of experiencing a natural disaster, or as a gradual, latent loss of the capabilities necessary to lead a fulfilling and meaningful life. Transport systems play a vital role in ensuring individuals’ resilience to climate events both in the short- and long-term, and MA’AT is designed to help identify the pathways that can enable transport systems to keep on playing this role as climate change disrupts human flourishing in both minor and major ways.
The cross-cutting effects of climate change force us to think outside of our disciplinary silos. By employing a system-of-systems approach, MA’AT can showcase how the effects of a changing climate percolate through both physical and social systems to produce divergent outcomes. Our focus on reinforcement learning, meanwhile, allows researchers, policymakers, and stakeholders alike to query which sequences of actions contribute to producing desired results over long periods of time.
How is MA’AT tackling this problem?
MA’AT helps us understand how climate change affects people’s everyday lives by looking at the bigger picture. Instead of treating transport, wellbeing, and climate as separate issues, MA’AT shows how they are connected, including how disruptions in one system affects others.
Using powerful simulation and machine learning tools, MA’AT can test both climate projection scenarios and “what if” scenarios: What happens if a flood shuts down a key road? Which actions help communities recover fastest? Which choices today make us stronger in the long run? By experimenting in a safe, virtual space, MA’AT helps decision-makers discover strategies that keep transport systems reliable and people’s wellbeing protected.
But MA’AT isn’t just about keeping roads open. It’s about ensuring that transport continues to connect people to what really matters: healthcare, education, work, other critical infrascture, and each other. By looking at these connections, MA’AT helps design transport systems that support human wellbeing and quality of life, even in the face of climate uncertainty.
Artificial Intelligence
To help uncover complex relations and trade-offs between possible adaptation strategies
- Reinforcement Learning
- Transport simulation
Wellbeing & Quality of Life
To highlight how transport systems support access to the opportunities, services, and overall human wellbeing
- Access to healthcare, education, work, and other critical infrastructure
- Human-centered optimization
Climate Projections
To explore how long-term future climate scenarios affect transport and wellbeing
- Climate impact pathways
- Adaptation strategies
- Long-term planning
Team
Current team
Meet the members of the team who are actively contributing to MAAT:

Technical University of Denmark

University of Galway

Technical University of Denmark

Technical University of Denmark

Technical University of Denmark

Technical University of Denmark

Technical University of Denmark
Former members
Meet the team members who have contributed to MAAT in the past:

Saint-Gobain Distribution Denmark

Technical University of Munich

Technical University of Denmark
Latest news
December 6, 2025
[+] AI for Climate and Conservation Workshop at EurIPS 2025. Arthur presented some preliminary results using the MA’AT framework to showcase climate adaptation strategies targeting quality of life impacts result in more adaptation spending as well as a more even distribution of spending over the study area.
Abstract: Climate change will cause an increase in the frequency and severity of flood events, prompting the need for cohesive adaptation policymaking. Designing effective adaptation policies, however, depends on managing the uncertainty of long-term climate impacts. Meanwhile, such policies can feature important normative choices that are not always made explicit. We propose that Reinforcement Learning (RL) can be a useful tool to both identify adaptation pathways under uncertain conditions while it also allows for the explicit modelling (and consequent comparison) of different adaptation priorities (e.g. economic vs. wellbeing). We use an Integrated Assessment Model (IAM) to link together a rainfall and flood model, and compute the impacts of flooding in terms of quality of life (QoL), transportation, and infrastructure damage. Our results show that models prioritising QoL over economic impacts results in more adaptation spending as well as a more even distribution of spending over the study area, highlighting the extent to which such normative assumptions can alter adaptation policy.
Scientific Presentation
December 4, 2025
[+] Telecom Sud Paris (Paris, France). Francisco presented the latest results from MA´AT at a research seminar in Paris, France. His presentation´s title was “Climate Adaptation with Reinforcement Learning: Experiments with Flooding and Transportation in Copenhagen“.
Abstract:
Research seminar
November 10, 2025
[+] European Environmental Agency. Francisco and Martin presented the MA´AT project at the European Environmental Agency and how our framework can help in climate adaptation planning.
Abstract:
Outreach activity
November 3-4, 2025
[+] AI in Science 2025. Arthur presented some preliminary results using the MA’AT framework to showcase how climate adaptation measures differ when considering economic impacts or quality of life impacts.
Abstract: Urban flooding is expected to increase in frequency and severity as a consequence of climate change, causing wide-ranging impacts that include a decrease in urban Quality of Life (QoL). Meanwhile, policymakers must devise adaptation strategies that can cope with the uncertain nature of climate change and the complex and dynamic nature of urban flooding. Reinforcement Learning (RL) holds significant promise in tackling such complex, dynamic, and uncertain problems. Because of this, we use RL to identify which climate adaptation pathways lead to a higher QoL in the long term. We do this using an Integrated Assessment Model (IAM) which combines a rainfall projection model, a flood model, a transport accessibility model, and a quality of life index. Our preliminary results suggest that this approach can be used to learn optimal adaptation measures and it outperforms other realistic and real-world planning strategies.
Scientific Presentation
October 23-24, 2025
[+] Danish Meteorological Institute’s 2025 Climate Symposium hosted by the National Centre for Climate Research. Arthur and Martin presented some preliminary results about the MA’AT framework when planning climate adaptation measures focusing purely on economic impacts and when considering quality of life impacts.
Abstract: Climate change will cause an increase in the frequency and severity of flood events, prompting the need for cohesive adaptation policymaking. Designing effective adaptation policies, however, depends on managing the uncertainty of long-term climate impacts. Meanwhile, such policies can feature important normative choices that are not always made explicit. We propose that Reinforcement Learning (RL) can be a useful tool to both identify adaptation pathways under uncertain conditions while it also allows for the explicit modelling (and consequent comparison) of different adaptation priorities (e.g. economic vs. wellbeing). We use an Integrated Assessment Model (IAM) to link together a rainfall and flood model, and compute the impacts of flooding in terms of quality of life (QoL), transportation, and infrastructure damage. Our results show that models prioritising QoL over economic impacts results in more adaptation spending as well as a more even distribution of spending over the study area, highlighting the extent to which such normative assumptions can alter adaptation policy.
Scientific Presentation
October 16, 2025
[+] Université Gustave Eiffel (Paris, France). Miguel and Francisco presented some preliminary results about the MA’AT framework when planning climate adaptation measures focusing purely on economic impacts and when considering quality of life impacts. The title of the presentation was “Climate Adaptation with Reinforcement Learning: Experiments with Flooding and Transportation in Copenhagen and Esbjerg”.
Abstract: Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall, leading to more frequent urban floods that damage infrastructure and disrupt mobility. Cities urgently need strategies to adapt to these escalating risks. In this seminar, we will present how reinforcement learning (RL) can be used to uncover effective adaptation strategies—identifying where and when measures should be deployed. The framework combines projections of future rainfall and flooding with a simplified model of copenhagen transport, allowing us to capture both direct damage to infrastructure and indirect impacts on mobility. We will share preliminary results showing how RL can help prioritize interventions in vulnerable areas and determine the optimal timing for their implementation, ultimately supporting more resilient and adaptive urban transport systems.
Scientific Presentation
October 10, 2025
[+] Klimakatastroferne kommer – en digital tilgang til klimatilpasning. Martin presented MA’AT at an event in Christiansborg (the Danish Parliament) entitled “Hvor robuste er vi overfor ekstremhændelser – teknologiernes rolle?” (How robust are we to extreme events – the role of technologies?).
Abstract:
Outreach activity
September 25, 2025
[+] EAISI CAFÉ (Eindhoven Artificial Intelligence Systems Institute). Francisco delivered a keynote talk about how reinforcement learning can be used in climate adaptation planning and presented some of MAAT’s results.
Abstract: Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall, leading to more frequent urban floods that damage infrastructure and disrupt mobility. Cities urgently need strategies to adapt to these escalating risks. In this seminar, I will present how reinforcement learning (RL) can be used to uncover effective adaptation strategies—identifying where and when measures should be deployed. The framework combines projections of future rainfall and flooding with a simplified model of Copenhagen transport, allowing us to capture both direct damage to infrastructure and indirect impacts on mobility. I will share preliminary results showing how RL can help prioritize interventions in vulnerable areas and determine the optimal timing for their implementation, ultimately supporting more resilient and adaptive urban transport systems.
Scientific Presentation
September 22, 2025
[+] Eindhoven University of Technology (Eindhoven, Netherlands). Francisco gave a research talk for the MOVEMENT research group, Control Systems Technology (CST), TU/e Mechanical Engineering at TU/e Eindhoven University of Technology.
Abstract:
Scientific Presentation
September 15, 2025
[+] FØR, UNDER OG EFTER: EN KONFERENCE OM EKSTREMT VEJR. Martin presented MAAT and some preliminary results on how our framework can be adapted for storm surge events for Esbjerg.
Abstract:
Outreach Activity
September 10-12, 2025
[+] EIT Urban Mobility DTN Annual Forum 2025. Miguel gave a keynote talk on his current research within MAAT and how machine learning can be used to aid in climate adaptation planning.
Abstract: Miguel Costa is a postdoctoral researcher at the Technical University of Denmark, where he develops decision-support tools for climate adaptation policy making. His current work combines reinforcement learning and agent-based simulation to identify optimal sets or sequences of adaptation strategies. This framework aims to reveal dynamic links between flooding events, transport systems, public health, and wellbeing – ultimately supporting decision-making that maximizes societal impact. His research interests lie at the intersection of artificial intelligence and transport, focusing on how machine learning can be used to objectively characterize complex phenomena while also capturing individuals’ subjective experiences. By bridging this gap, he aims to inform planning and policy decisions that are both data-driven and human-centered.
Scientific Presentation
April 28, 2025
[+] Tackling Climate Change with Machine Learning workshop at ICLR 2025. Miguel, Arthur, and Carolin presented the concept behind the overall MAAT framework. We were awarded the Best Proposal Award.
Abstract: Subjective wellbeing is a fundamental aspect of human life, influencing life expectancy and economic productivity, among others. Mobility plays a critical role in maintaining wellbeing, yet the increasing frequency and intensity of both nuisance and high-impact floods due to climate change are expected to significantly disrupt access to activities and destinations, thereby affecting overall wellbeing. Addressing climate adaptation presents a complex challenge for policymakers, who must select and implement policies from a broad set of options with varying effects while managing resource constraints and uncertain climate projections. In this work, we propose a multi-modular framework that uses reinforcement learning as a decision-support tool for climate adaptation in Copenhagen, Denmark. Our framework integrates four interconnected components: long-term rainfall projections, flood modeling, transport accessibility, and wellbeing modeling. This approach enables decision-makers to identify spatial and temporal policy interventions that help sustain or enhance subjective wellbeing over time. By modeling climate adaptation as an open-ended system, our framework provides a structured framework for exploring and evaluating adaptation policy pathways. In doing so, it supports policymakers to make informed decisions that maximize wellbeing in the long run.

Scientific Presentation
Best Proposal Award
December 15, 2024
[+] Tackling Climate Change with Machine Learning workshop at NEURIPS 2024. Miguel and Morten presented a first version of the MAAT framework at a machine learning flagship conference.
Abstract: Due to climate change the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events, which contribute to urban flooding, are expected to increase in many places. These floods can damage transport infrastructure and disrupt mobility, highlighting the need for cities to adapt to escalating risks. Reinforcement learning (RL) serves as a powerful tool for uncovering optimal adaptation strategies, determining how and where to deploy adaptation measures effectively, even under significant uncertainty. In this study, we leverage RL to identify the most effective timing and locations for implementing measures, aiming to reduce both direct and indirect impacts of flooding. Our framework integrates climate change projections of future rainfall events and floods, models city-wide motorized trips, and quantifies direct and indirect impacts on infrastructure and mobility. Preliminary results suggest that our RL-based approach can significantly enhance decision-making by prioritizing interventions in specific urban areas and identifying the optimal periods for their implementation.
Scientific Presentation
November 20, 2024
[+] Workshop on AI and Optimization for Mobility. Francisco presented preliminary results on MAAT’s first prototype.
Scientific Presentation
August 8, 2024
[+] 6th Bridging Transportation Researchers conference. Francisco had a keynote talk where he presented two of his projects: MAAT (Villum Fonden) and APEX (Novo Nordisk Foundation).
Abstract: Large-scale transport simulation models face the critical challenge of computational complexity. This complexity significantly hampers calibration and model exploration, such as scenario discovery, due to the extensive time required for each simulation run. Traditionally, two approaches have been employed to mitigate this issue: model simplification through spatial and/or temporal aggregation and scope reduction by focusing on specific segments of the transport network or population subsets. Alternatively, analytical or statistical model approximations, known as metamodels, have been utilized. Recently, Machine Learning (ML)-based metamodels have gained popularity for their potential to streamline simulations. However, these models often struggle with out-of-distribution scenarios, failing to accurately represent the original simulation under new conditions, such as policy interventions. This headline presentation will introduce recent advancements in causal metamodeling, an approach that integrates ML-based metamodeling with domain-specific knowledge to produce simulation approximations that not only remain true to the original model but also operate with significantly enhanced speed. Drawing on the recent and ongoing research, I will outline the foundational concepts, share preliminary findings, and explore the challenges and opportunities this research presents. Through causal metamodeling, we aim to significantly improve the scalability and generalization capabilities of simulation models, opening new avenues for comprehensive and efficient scenario analysis and policy advisory.
Scientific Presentation
March 1, 2024
[+] The start of MAAT!
The MAAT project, funded by Villum Fonden, starts and aims to develop a tool for assisting in policymaking for urban planning. By combining machine learning (reinforcement learning), transport, wellbeing, and climate projections, it seeks to uncover optimal policy portfolios that can be used in climate adaptions.
Publications
1.
Climate Adaptation with Reinforcement Learning: Experiments with Flooding and Transportation in Copenhagen
Miguel Costa, Morten W. Petersen, Arthur Vandervoort, Martin Drews, Karyn Morrissey, Francisco C. Pereira
Tackling Climate Change with Machine Learning workshop at NeurIPS 2024
2.
Using Reinforcement Learning to Integrate Subjective Wellbeing into Climate Adaptation Decision Making
Arthur Vandervoort, Miguel Costa, Morten W. Petersen, Martin Drews, Sonja Haustein, Karyn Morrissey, and Francisco C. Pereira
Tackling Climate Change with Machine Learning workshop at ICLR 2025
3.
Incorporating Quality of Life in Climate Adaptation Planning via Reinforcement Learning
Miguel Costa, Arthur Vandervoort, Martin Drews, Karyn Morrissey, Francisco C. Pereira
AI in Science (AIS) 2025
4.
Climate Adaptation with Reinforcement Learning: Economic vs. Quality of Life Adaptation Pathways
Miguel Costa, Arthur Vandervoort, Martin Drews, Karyn Morrissey, Francisco C. Pereira
AI for Climate and Conservation Workshop at EurIPS 2025
Funding
This work is supported by a research grant (VIL57387) from VILLUM FONDEN.
